Paul Pogba has returned to Man Utd for over £80m, just a few years after leaving after his contract expired.
The summer transfer window when he joined was dominated by this story, as it was a record breaking transfer.
Now, in 2017-18, this looks a bargain, as Neymar being £220m has really set the bar high!
Everton have paid £50m for Gylfi, the money in football has gone mad!
Pogba is back to finish what he started, but, should you add him to your portfolio?
At 24, he would be a solid long term investment with 10 years left in him.
I don’t believe he’s yet the finished article, he can still improve under Mourinho.
Big Player, Big Club
The combination of playing for the biggest club in the world & having a big personality means he has great media buzz prospects.
Lack of Performance Buzz
He’s been injured for a period, but he’s not scored great points on PB.
Reasons to Buy Paul Pogba
I am undecided yet whether Paul Pogba is actually a good addition to a traders portfolio.
However, below I have analysed potential reasons for acquiring him.
- He’s a big media buzz star. This is due to the combination of his personality & the fact he plays for Manchester United. The media are always geared towards the top clubs, rarely writing stories on players from Huddersfield etc. As Pogba cost so much, every performance is under scrutiny.
- He is a great long term option. There are players such as Dani Alves who offers great Performance Buzz potential, but are incredibly old (he’s 32). Pogba can play top level for at least 9-10 years longer.
- He has the potential to improve further under Mourinho. This could be beneficial for traders, as if he gets better he has the potential to earn both dividends. Better performances = more performance buzz dividends. Better Performances = Media paying attention.
Potential Reasons to Avoid
Unfortunately, I do have reasons why you may want to avoid Pogba too.
- Paul Pogba has been injured, so not been able to fully showcase his performance buzz potential. However, from the small sample data we have of Pogba, it’s not fantastic. He’s not in the top 15 midfielders, so he’s not competing as he should be.
- Since there are more expensive signings, especially Lukaku to Man Utd, Pogba has fallen down the Media Buzz line, this season he hasn’t picked up the Media Buzz scores that he did last season.
- Pogba is currently trading at £3.91, which I believe is far too high for a player which is yet to start performing like a top player. He isn’t scoring high enough to get Performance Buzz dividends & his Media Buzz potential is questionable.
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Paul Pogba is giving us some confusion at FIA HQ.
We don’t feel he offers great value at £3.91, as the Return on Investment is ‘lottery-like’. He’s not performing well at present, but this doesn’t guarantee he won’t win in the future.
In regards to Media Buzz, he’s not as active in the media eye as he was last season, but this doesn’t mean they won’t start writing stories on him again.
He’s £1.21 less than Coutinho, but more expensive than Dele Alli, Thiago Alacantra, Toni Kroos etc, all who offer great performance buzz potential.
Personally, i am avoiding Pogba at current prices. I would prefer to add someone like Kroos to my portflio, at almost half the cost.